Churning

Written by Drew Tabor
Guide · Part 12 of 22

Churning is arbitrage with the two bets perfectly balanced, so you do not win or lose anything. There is no profit on the bets themselves: you are running empty handle through the sportsbooks. The profit comes from rewards points, from the sportsbooks and from cards that pay you for depositing into them.

What churning is

Churn sets in the Hedges feed: 0% ROI, because neither side wins or loses anything.
Churn sets in the Hedges feed: 0% ROI, because neither side wins or loses anything.

Churning is the same thing as arbitrage, except the bets are perfectly balanced, so you do not win or lose anything. Churn sets sit in the Hedges feed alongside the arbitrage sets, and each one shows 0% ROI 1.

Why do it: rewards points

Why would you want to run handle through the sportsbooks for no profit? Rewards points. Not only do the sportsbooks themselves give you rewards points, but there are credit and debit cards that give you rewards points for depositing into sportsbooks. In the past I have seen offers as high as 1%, so let's use that number here.

One churn, worked through

Inside a churn: both sides show $0 to profit.
Inside a churn: both sides show $0 to profit.

Inside a churn, both sides say to profit $0 1 2. Like an arb, every churn has stake options 3: Account Stealth, then $10 up to $1,000, then Max.

Every churn and arb has stake options. Max is the largest pair the books will take.
Every churn and arb has stake options. Max is the largest pair the books will take.

Here I moved to Max 1, the biggest pair the books will take, and clicked Place Bets.

Place Bets: $975 at FanDuel and $1,170 at bet365, and both pay out $2,145.
Place Bets: $975 at FanDuel and $1,170 at bet365, and both pay out $2,145.

That means depositing $2,145 into these two sportsbooks: $975 on Tre' Harris over 3.5 receptions at FanDuel, and $1,170 on the under at bet365. At 1% cash back, that is $21.45.

Place both bets and you get paid out exactly what you put in: whichever side wins pays $2,145 1 2. You withdraw it, you pay off your credit card bill, and you keep your $21.45 of profit.

Where churning fits

This strategy is not super popular in the sports betting world. It is bigger in the credit card rewards world, where you exchange your points for flights and hotels. But this is a very potent way to do it, and candidly, you can make more money than you can in the credit card space.

Next
Middles →

A middle is like arbitrage with one difference: both sides of your bet can win. How a middle card reads, and the three outcomes it can land on.

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Guide · Part 12 of 22